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Financial crisis worse than the 1930s?
in Sox First, on May 7, 2009
...der way in the final quarter of this year," the NIESR said. Black Swan author Nassim Nicholas Taleb has told a conference in Singapore that the crisis could be worse than the 1930s because fin...
Testing stress tests
in Sox First, on May 5, 2009
... bank failing it is more indicative of the weakness of that bank. As risk scholar Nassim Nicholas Taleb says, the stress tests are the "equivalent of testing the Brooklyn Bridge by running a ...
Beware of black swans
in Sox First, on September 5, 2007
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Have finished reading Nassim Nicholas Taleb's thought-provoking book The Black Swan . All about the futility and danger of making and relying on forecasts. Basically, Taleb argues that we are...
Mission impossible: predicting the future
in Sox First, on April 10, 2007
...weak signals that have not been picked up yet. It's a point taken up by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his piece Far and Few Between: Black Swans and the Impossibility of Prediction . The Blac...
Fooled by randomness
in TJ's Weblog, on March 20, 2005
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I just finished Nassim Nicholas Taleb's book 'Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets' . An Awful long title but it is indeed an entertai...